A recent Harvard CAPS Harris poll has unveiled that a significant majority of voters oppose an unconditional ceasefire in the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. The findings highlight a divergence from the very vocal position held by anti-Israel protestors advocating for a ceasefire without preconditions.
Main Points of the Poll:
1. Opposition to Unconditional Ceasefire
According to the poll, 70% of voters oppose an unconditional ceasefire that would leave the current situation unchanged. This opposition aligns with the stance against the anti-Israel protestors’ demand for a ceasefire without prerequisites. Only 30% of voters support an unconditional ceasefire, which reflects a minority viewpoint.
2. Demographic Breakdown
The opposition to an unconditional ceasefire is particularly strong among older voters and those closely following the conflict. Among voters aged 65 and older, 84% oppose an unconditional ceasefire, compared to 54% of voters aged 18-24. Political affiliations also show varied levels of opposition, with 76% of GOP voters, 74% of Independents, and 59% of Democrats against an unconditional ceasefire.
3. Support for Conditional Ceasefire
The poll indicates that the majority of voters are in favor of a conditional ceasefire, contingent on the release of all hostages and the removal of Hamas from power. This reflects a pragmatic approach to achieving peace while addressing key concerns about security and justice.
4. Support for Israel
The poll further reveals that 80% of voters support Israel over Hamas in the conflict. This support remains consistent with the sentiments recorded in June. Older voters exhibit the highest level of support, with 93% of those aged 65 and above backing Israel, while support among younger voters aged 18-24 stands at 54%. Among political affiliations, 87% of GOP voters, 79% of Independents, and 75% of Democrats support Israel.
5. Efforts to Minimize Casualties
When asked about Israel’s efforts to avoid civilian casualties in its war against Hamas, 66% of voters believe that Israel is trying to minimize such casualties. This belief has increased from 62% in June. The perception of Israel’s efforts is highest among GOP voters (79%), followed by Democrats (57%) and Independents (60%).