Women are casting ballots in significant numbers in the 2024 election, fueling anxiety within former President Donald Trump’s base. Across key battleground states, the early voting gender gap has hit double digits, with women accounting for roughly 55% of early votes nationally, while men make up about 45%. These trends have emerged as a central focus in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, and North Carolina—crucial swing states for both Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
This surge in women voters has bolstered optimism among Democrats who view female support as essential for a Harris victory. The Trump campaign, however, has expressed concern that too few male supporters are voting early, especially given that both Harris and Trump are campaigning heavily in Pennsylvania. This key battleground shows the largest gap, with women contributing about 56% of the early vote versus 43% from men.
Though early voting patterns don’t specify voter preferences, the numbers add to Trump’s team’s worries about turnout trends. Women traditionally vote in higher percentages, and their high turnout aligns with Harris’s focus on reproductive rights, economic security, and Trump’s suitability for office—issues central to her campaign.
The Trump camp, in response, has encouraged early voting to avoid an Election Day rush. In certain battlegrounds like Nevada and Arizona, Republicans have matched Democrats in early voting numbers, yet female voter participation remains robust, spurring Democrats’ hopes for a Harris edge. GOP figures, including Turning Point founder Charlie Kirk, warn that without a rise in male turnout, Trump’s path could narrow, with Kirk noting on social media, “If men stay at home, Kamala is president. It’s that simple.”
Polls have reflected a significant gender divide, showing Harris with a double digit lead among suburban women, while Trump has a solid lead among men. The stakes are high as both campaigns vie for the gendered vote turnout that could make or break their path to victory.
