Wednesday’s release of the Marquette University Law School Poll is the latest sign that Joe Biden’s campaign for reelection is in trouble in Wisconsin. In the poll, conducted at the beginning of the month, President Donald Trump is the preferred candidate for 51% of voters, compared to President Joe Biden’s 49%. This number was consistent across both the registered voter pool of respondents and those who are likely voters in the November 2024 election. Another Marquette poll, taken at the beginning of the year, showed the former and current presidents tied 49% to 49% among registered voters, while Trump led Biden by 1% among likely voters.
In the April poll that was released yesterday, when potential third-party candidates for President were included as options to likely voters, Trump continues to carry the field with 42% to Biden’s 41%, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. securing 12%, and candidates Jill Steil and Cornel West receiving a combined 4%.
In the race for enthusiasm among voters, President Trump leads with 57% of voters that are somewhat or very enthusiastic to cast their ballots being his voters, while only 43% support Biden. Furthermore, among registered voters, President Trump has a better net favorable score of -13, compared to Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s -15, and President Biden’s whopping -19 favorability.
When it comes to the issues that voters care about, the top two secure over 50% of voters’ worries with the economy at 33%, and immigration and border security coming in with 21%. These issues are particularly important for Wisconsin’s critical independent swing voters with 31% identifying the economy as their top issue, and 23% identifying immigration.
On both of these issues, all registered voters in Wisconsin heavily favor President Trump to do a better job on both. On immigration, 53% of voters believe Trump would do a better job, while only 28% favor Biden. On the economy, a massive gap remains with 52% favoring Trump and 34% favoring Biden. In a further big blow to far-left messaging on immigration, this poll was also the first since August 2015, where less than 50% of Wisconsinites believe that undocumented immigrants working in the US should be allowed to stay and apply for a visa. This was coupled with the highest percent of voters in the question’s history, 30%, saying that they should be required to leave their jobs and the US.
